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Odds To Win The AFC East: Patriots, Patriots and More Patriots

AFC East Betting Preview 2019

When betting on the potential winner of the AFC East, you need to ask yourself two questions: Do you invest a large sum of money on the New England Patriots in order to make a slight profit? Or do you just bet on one of the remaining three teams in the division and set your money on fire?

Well, if you chose the former, congratulations because online sportsbook  Bovada is favoring the New England Patriots (-550) to win the AFC East again for the 17th time in the last 18 seasons.

Following the Patriots are the New York Jets (+650), Buffalo Bills (+1000) and Miami Dolphins (+2500) to round out the field.

Let’s break down each team’s chances to win the AFC East: (SPOILER ALERT: The Patriots will win the division.)

Read more on the betting odds to win the AFC West, AFC South and AFC North.

New England Patriots (-550)

For anyone who follows OddsShark religiously, I’ve written the AFC East preview for three straight seasons and for as much research as I do, I still come to the same conclusion: no team in the AFC East is touching the Patriots.

New England finished 11-5 SU in the standings last season for its worst regular-season finish since 2009. Think about that for a second and consider the parity that typically exists in the NFL to fully appreciate that culture of winning. It’s incredible to see this run of dominance in the NFL but from a betting perspective, it makes the AFC East quite undramatic.

The Pats actually had a bit of a “rough” patch last year when they finished 3-5 SU in eight road games and the narrative of “are the Patriots done?” started to creep back into the fold. But then the playoffs came and they took down a murderer’s row of opponents in the Chargers, Chiefs and Rams to win their second Super Bowl in three seasons.

As long as Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are leading the charge for the Pats, I can’t see how anyone is knocking them off. If you have a big bankroll, this is one of the few bets I would recommend to bet the house on because it’s free money.

New York Jets (+650)

The only team among the remaining three that I think could actually give the Patriots a bit of a challenge, the New York Jets made some splashy offseason moves to bring some talent onto the field on both sides of the ball. They signed RB Le’Veon Bell to bring in an effective running game that likely hasn’t been seen since Curtis Martin, and then signed MLB CJ Mosley away from the Ravens to improve their speed for their second line of defense.

Speaking of defense, the Jets are going to be a force this year in stopping the run. Leonard Williams and Quinnen Williams (no relation) will wreak havoc on the defensive line and I fully expect with the addition of Quinnen that the Jets will improve from 26th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game.

Offensively, the jury is still out on QB Sam Darnold and while I am enthused about his potential, the reality is the Jets didn’t add any receivers who can provide an additional deep threat with Robbie Anderson. Bell and Jamison Crowder might be able to provide nice underneath options to bail out Darnold but defenses will likely sniff that out if the Jets aren’t creative.

At +650, this is the only team in the AFC East that I would endorse as a legitimate challenger to New England’s throne and I would fully recommend taking the OVER on their projected win total of 7.

Buffalo Bills (+1000)

The case for the Buffalo Bills to win the AFC East starts and ends with their offense, which is virtually non-existent outside of touchdown runs by QB Josh Allen. The Bills made no vast improvements offensively to help bring along Allen, which means we could see a lot more scrambles from the second-year starter.

Allen led his team and all rookie quarterbacks with eight rushing touchdowns but still needs to figure out the key part of his position, which is throwing the football. Allen finished with a completion percentage of 52.8, which ranked last among NFL starters, and an anemic 5.8 yards per attempt.

I guess the one thing you could say is encouraging for the Bills is that their defense is still solid and they didn’t go on one of those ugly losing streaks like a lot of bottom-feeders in the NFL do. This is me just trying to find positives in a rocky situation because I don’t sincerely believe they can win the AFC East. They’ve only made the playoffs once since 2001. You might as well be donating your bet to charity.

Miami Dolphins (+2500)

What can be said about the Miami Dolphins that hasn’t been said about Afghanistan? It looks bombed out and depleted! (Credit to Dave Chappelle for that one). The Dolphins have holes everywhere on their roster and they got gashed on the ground last season as they ranked 31st in rushing yards allowed per game and 27th in points allowed per game.

Miami made a move for the future by dumping QB Ryan Tannehill and trading for Josh Rosen to hopefully be their quarterback of the future. But he may not get much playing time if Ryan Fitzpatrick does his annual FitzMagic routine and provides good but not great play from under center.

With either QB, they have nearly no chance to make the playoffs and their only highlight last season was when they upset the Patriots at home on a wild play to steal the victory. The Dolphins do hold the distinction as the only team to win the AFC East during the Patriots’ run of dominance (back in 2009) but at +2000, your money would be better spent elsewhere.

Odds to Win The 2019 AFC East
New England Patriots-550
New York Jets+650
Buffalo Bills+1000
Miami Dolphins+2500

Odds as of July 11 at Bovada